The Miami Heat hope a return home can reverse their slide when they host the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday afternoon. The Heat (28-28) are sitting in seventh place in the Eastern Conference after dropping the final three of a four-game road trip that was capped by a loss to the league-worst Minnesota Timberwolves. Brooklyn (38-18), which has a chance to move 21 games above .500 for the first time in 19 years, is seeking its third victory in as many meetings with Miami this season, having posted a pair of wins at home in a three-day span from Jan. 23-25.
Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET at AmericanAirlines Arena. William Hill Sportsbook lists Brooklyn as a 7.5-point favorite while the over-under for total points scored is 222.5 in the latest Nets vs. Heat odds. Before making any Heat vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,100 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 17 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 95-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Heat. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Heat vs. Nets:
Nets vs. Heat spread: Nets -7.5Nets vs. Heat over-under: 225.5 pointsNets vs. Heat money line: Nets -275, Heat +235BKN: The Nets rank sixth in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.92)MIA: Heat G Victor Oladipo (knee) will miss his fifth straight game
Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets
Why the Nets can cover
Unlike the first two meetings vs. Miami, when Brooklyn had its Big Three available, James Harden (hamstring) will sit out his sixth consecutive game Sunday. The Nets are also adjusting to the loss of forward LaMarcus Aldridge, who announced his retirement on Thursday due to an irregular heartbeat. Still, Brooklyn can cover up a lot of warts behind the duo of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, who are averaging 55.6 points between them.
Playing in just his fourth game after missing nearly two months with a hamstring injury, Durant collected 25 points and 11 rebounds in Friday’s 130-115 victory over Charlotte. He scored 31 in his previous contest at Minnesota and shot a combined 19 of 27 overall and 7 of 11 from behind the arc in the last two games. Irving is coming off a season-low 12-point output on Friday, but he is averaging 29.5 points away from home.
Why the Heat can cover
Miami was missing star forward Jimmy Butler as well as third-leading scorer Tyler Herro in the first two matchups against the Nets in January. Butler nearly had a triple-double in Friday’s loss at Minnesota, posting 30 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists to go along with three steals. Butler, who is averaging a team-best 21.4 points, was a late addition to the injury report Saturday night and is questionable due to a sprained right ankle.
If Butler is held out, it will put more of an offensive burden on All-Star center Bam Adebayo, who had his way inside with the Nets in the previous two meetings. Miami’s second-leading scorer, Adebayo erupted for a career-best 41 points and followed it up with a double-double (26 points, 10 rebounds) vs. Brooklyn. Goran Dragic, who ended a 3-point slump by hitting 3 of 5 Friday, scored 40 points in the last two meetings vs. the Nets.
How to make Heat vs. Nets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 231 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 95-59 roll on NBA picks.
Published: 2021-04-18 13:12:20
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