The Memphis Grizzlies host the Los Angeles Lakers in a Western Conference battle on Tuesday evening. The Lakers toppled the Grizzlies at FedEx Forum on Sunday, with the Grizzlies aiming for revenge just 48 hours later. Memphis is 2-4 on the young season, while Los Angeles is 5-2 after winning the 2020 NBA championship. The Grizzlies will also deploy a short-handed roster, with Ja Morant (ankle), Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) and Justise Winslow (hip) continuing to miss time with injury.
Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET in Memphis. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Lakers as 10-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 218 in the latest Lakers vs. Grizzlies odds. Before you make any Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 65-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Grizzlies. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Lakers:
Lakers vs. Grizzlies spread: Lakers -10Lakers vs. Grizzlies over-under: 218 pointsLakers vs. Grizzlies money line: Lakers -500, Grizzlies +400LAL: The Lakers are 4-2 against the spread in non-division gamesMEM: The Grizzlies are 2-4 against the spread this season
Why the Lakers can cover
The Lakers have two of the best players in the NBA in LeBron James and Anthony Davis, with everything flowing through that pairing on both ends. James is averaging 23.6 points, 8.4 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game, while Davis adds 21.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game while shooting 51.5 percent from the floor.
In addition, Dennis Schroder provides a punch in the backcourt, averaging 16.3 points and 4.9 assists per game, and the Lakers are a top-five offense that scores almost 1.17 points per possession. Los Angeles is also facing a Memphis defense that is below-average to this point, with only a 14.5 percent turnover creation rate and a group that grabs only 73.9 percent of available defensive rebounds.
Why the Grizzlies can cover
The Grizzlies are short-handed, but they have a trio of available 15-point scorers in Dillon Brooks, Kyle Anderson and Jonas Valanciunas. Those three players provide scoring in different ways, and Valanciunas keys an offensive rebounding attack that rates in the top-10 on a per-possession basis, pulling down 27.9 percent of available rebounds.
Memphis is also above-average in ball security, committing a turnover on only 14.8 percent of possessions, and the Lakers struggle to produce turnovers at a rate of only 12.9 percent. Defensively, Memphis is a top-12 team in effective field goal percentage allowed (52.5 percent), and the Grizzlies could make life relatively difficult on the Lakers offense.
How to make Lakers vs. Grizzlies picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with Schroder and Anderson projected to fall short of their season-long scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Grizzlies vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Lakers vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.
Published: 2021-01-05 22:45:36
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