Mike Budenholzer and the Milwaukee Bucks take on Steve Clifford and the Orlando Magic on Monday evening. Orlando plays host to the festivities, with the Magic looking to improve their 3-2 record at Amway Center. Milwaukee is 6-4 this season, and the Bucks have won four of the last five games. Evan Fournier (back), Michael Carter-Williams (foot) and Chuma Okeke (knee) are among the players ruled out for Orlando. Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) is expected to play for Milwaukee after missing Saturday’s game against the Cavaliers.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 10-point favorite in the latest Bucks vs. Magic odds, up 2.5 points from the opening line. The over-under for total points is set at 226. Before making any Magic vs. Bucks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 65-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs Magic. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and betting trends for Magic vs. Bucks:
Bucks vs. Magic spread: Bucks -10Bucks vs. Magic over-under: 226Bucks vs. Magic money line: Bucks -550, Magic +425MIL: The Bucks are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 gamesORL: The Magic are 5-1 against the spread against the East
Why the Bucks can cover
Milwaukee’s calling card has been the offense this season, but the team still deploys an impressive defensive attack. The Bucks finished the season with the No. 1 defense in the NBA last season, and they are above-average in defensive efficiency (1.08 points allowed per possession) so far in 2020-21. Milwaukee is a solid defensive rebounding team, pulling down 75.0 percent of missed shots from their opponents, and the Bucks are limiting the opposition to a lowly effective field goal shooting mark of 52.5 percent.
Orlando is also dead-last in the NBA in effective field goal percentage (48.9 percent), with a bottom-five mark in points scored per possession (1.06). The Bucks are a top-10 team in free throw rate allowed and steals per game (8.8), with a top-three standing in fast break points allowed at only 10.5 per game.
Why the Magic can cover
Orlando is at a talent disadvantage, particularly with an injury-riddled roster. With that said, the Magic excel in numerous areas, which provides optimism at home in this matchup. Orlando is dominating the turnover battle on both ends this season, highlighted by the No. 3 mark in the NBA in ball security. The Magic are committing a turnover on only 12.9 percent of offensive possessions, while forcing a turnover on almost 15 percent of defensive possessions.
Orlando is also very good in the area of rebounding, with an above-average mark on the offensive glass and a top-five defensive rebound rate (76.7 percent) in the NBA. The Magic should also be able to limit Milwaukee’s free throw attempts, with a top-five placement in the NBA in free throw rate allowed, and Orlando is a top-10 team in limiting both second-chance points and points in transition.
How to make Bucks vs. Magic picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under the total as it is projecting just 220 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Magic vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Magic vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.
Published: 2021-01-11 21:29:53
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